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Resolved Predictions Archive

Historical analysis of completed Polymarket predictions with verified AI prediction accuracy

🏆 WIN
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Fed December 2025 Rate Decision

✅ RESOLVED: 25 bps Cut
Resolved: December 2025 | AI Prediction: ✅ CORRECT (95% Confidence)

AI correctly predicted 25 basis point cut at 95% probability. Fed delivered exactly as predicted, validating our analysis.

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🏆 WIN

Bitcoin Country Adoption

✅ RESOLVED: YES
Resolved: November 2025 | AI Prediction: ✅ CORRECT
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🏆 WIN
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Kabuto Card $100 Market

✅ RESOLVED: YES
Resolved: December 2025 | AI Prediction: ✅ CORRECT

AI correctly predicted YES - Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 before deadline. Analysis identified manipulation risk that materialized as predicted.

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🏆 WIN

Ethereum December 2025

✅ RESOLVED: $3,400 Target
Resolved: December 2025 | AI Prediction: ✅ CORRECT

AI correctly predicted ETH would stay in $3,200-$3,600 range with $3,400 target (63% odds). Market resolved in our favor, validating prediction methodology.

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❌ WRONG

TikTok Sale December 2025

❌ RESOLVED: NO
Resolved: December 2025 | AI Prediction: ❌ INCORRECT

AI incorrectly predicted YES - TikTok sale was NOT announced by December 31, 2025. Despite reports of a signed deal, no public announcement was made before the deadline.

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Verified Outcomes

All resolved markets include verified outcomes and documented AI prediction accuracy. Historical records maintained for reference.

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Complete Analysis

Each resolved market includes pre-resolution odds, AI predictions, confidence levels, final outcomes, and detailed analysis.

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Citation-Worthy

All resolved predictions include comprehensive references and citations suitable for academic and professional use.